Red Elephant: Presidential Moneyline

Friday, August 14, 2009

Presidential Moneyline

Red Elephant believes that the Republican Party needs to play small ball and rebuild the party from the bottom up. However, presidential elections wait for nobody and the GOP will put forward a nominee in 2012. Red Elephant believes it should be a person who represents the platform issues that will make the GOP relevant again. That said, the Republican Party bench is bare, but here are some potential players to watch and Red Elephant’s odds on the contest.*

NEW Rick Santorum
-5000 or 50/1
Former GOP Senator Rick Santorum (R-PA) heads to Iowa to get some attention. This heralds that some in the GOP still favor troglodyte policies like intelligent design, combating "man-on-dog sex" and Terri Schiavo-like intervention in state issues when there’s a media gaggle to be had. Santorum will be able to find eager supporters in America’s Heartland, but is a low tier candidate.

*Calculated from electoral performance, survey data, media savvy and fundraising potential.

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What Is Red Elephant?

Red Elephant is here to wrest control of the Republican Party from the greed, avarice and hypocritical small-minded, short-term thinking that currently holds sway. Red Elephant is going to undertake the task of talking about how the GOP gets off the mat and becomes a relevant and viable political party again. Red Elephant asks the reader to set aside preconceptions and entertain the prospect of enlarging their own views on the state, nature and direction of the Republican Party. Red Elephant understands the difference between politics and policy. Red Elephant knows how to compile, interpret and use data. Red Elephant is inclusive. Red Elephant wants to win for the right reasons on the just issues.

The typical Nascar-watching, gun toting, psalm quoting, unforgiving and intolerant Republican base voter is not going to care much for the content of Red Elephant. If this voter segment was much larger, then the GOP could exist only for them and still have an impact on the direction of the country. But it isn’t. The GOP cannot win by continuing the “Southern Strategy” of the 1990’s and that’s a fact that can be, and will be supported by statistical, data-driven analysis in future Red Elephant posts.

Every demographic that the GOP needs to become viable again is leaving the Republican Party at a rate that makes the Colorado River in spring seem like a trickle. If the GOP is to regain the trust of just a small percentage of nearly every important U.S. demographic of this century: white, non-white, male, female, every age group in every geopolitical region, college and non-college graduates, heterosexual and homosexual, every income group, the married and single, first it must examine its own self. Red Elephant is going to make it very clear, with plain, authentic data and analysis, how the GOP should go about defining itself in order to achieve socio-political relevance and electoral victory.

Red Elephant will not allow the GOP to turn away from the future for the immediate satisfaction of catering to a small segment of the electorate that remains loyal as long as the Republican Party is the party of exclusion and intolerance. To continue down that path is to forfeit a proud political heritage as a proponent of civil rights and deny its own importance of providing the economic checks and balances that are the foundation of a two party political system.

The GOP has a future if it forgoes the nonsense of denying the possibility of consensus on the important issues of the day. Red Elephant believes that enough is enough and it’s time for the Republican Party to lead by example.

Red Elephant

Friday, August 14, 2009

Presidential Moneyline

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What Is Red Elephant?

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