Tuesday, May 18, 2010

Election Moneyline May 18 Primaries

With it being Election Day in Pennsylvania, Arkansas and Kentucky (oh, and Oregon) it is time for some odds-making:

Pennsylvania: Democratic Senate Primary
Senator Arlen Specter v. Rep. Joe Sestak
Sestak 3:5
Most likely Sestak's pollster called him in the first week of May and told him he was going to win. The contest has been trending Sestak since February, although is dead-even going into today.  Specter's rationale for switching parties, namely he did not see himself winning a GOP primary, smacks of the stuff that makes people dislike Washington politicians. While there are no silver bullets in political campaigns, this year the magic bullet is anti-incumbency.

Kentucky GOP Senate Primary
Sec. of State Trey Grayson v. Dr. Rand Paul
Paul 1:5
Bad omen for those in the GOP seeking moderation as the Tea Party favorite Paul is set to trounce the establishment candidate. Paul's likely win can be credited to anti-incumbency fervor and is a slap to Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-KY) who hand-picked Grayson.

Arkansas Democratic Senate Primary
Sen. Blanche Lincoln v. Lt. Gov. Bill Halter
Lincoln 3:2
Halter is playing for a run-off as there are three candidates in this contest (businessman D.C. Morrison is polling around 6 percent) and Lincoln is at 46 percent, Halter in the high 30's.  If recent polling is correct and there is 11 percent undecided and those voters break as they should, Lincoln squeeks by with slightly more than 50 percent thus avoiding a run-off with Halter.

30 comments:

裕以 said...

Constant dripping wears away the stone. 滴水穿石!加油!.............................................

柏強 said...

85成人片免費看 視訊交友vino 一夜情情色聊天 免費觀看影片 視訊交友中心 免費最新女優影片 性感走光照片 免費線上看成人影片 辣妹偷拍貼圖 男女聊天室 愛愛天堂 情趣內衣寫真 18禁成人影城 少女辣妹遊戲18 洪爺影城av 成人卡通a片 情色+貼圖 色情貼圖區 一夜情網站, 383成人 完美女人影音視訊 live 秀 玩美女人國 性感絲襪美女 辣妹交友 人妻自拍裸體 熟南熟女聊天室 a片下載 免費視訊聊天室 a圖裸體女生 天天看正妹美女寫真館 85cc成人長片 免費a片 嘟嘟 997770 台灣情色貼圖 一夜情買援交妹 情人視訊網 鋼管秀視訊 av網站 辣妹自拍 大奶辣妹照片 sex 85cc影片 日本巨乳寫真下載 情色性愛圖貼 後宮電影院 限制級 0204交友 日本性愛影片 洪爺走光自拍照片圖片

退 said...

此處是值得一探究竟的好部落格!! ........................................

ElwoodK_Rank佳玲 said...

若有人問你成功時會不會記得他 試問若你失敗時他會不會記得你 ............................................................

趙佳治 said...

生存乃是不斷地在內心與靈魂交戰;寫作是坐著審判自己。 ..................................................

則義 said...

當一個人內心能容納兩樣相互衝突的東西,這個人便開始變得有價值了。..................................................................

宛齊陳 said...

嘿,你的部落格不錯哦!.................................................................

堅燕 said...

HELLO~幫你推個文^^......................................................................

健豪 said...

河水永遠是相同的,可是每一剎那又都是新的。......................................................................

韋以韋以 said...

在莫非定律中有項笨蛋定律:「一個組織中的笨蛋,恆大於等於三分之二。」.................................................................

翰豪翰豪翰豪 said...

人生是故事的創造與遺忘。............................................................

戴昀德 said...

一個人的際遇在第一次總是最深刻的,有時候甚至會讓人的心變成永遠的絕緣。............................................................

芸茂芸茂 said...

人因夢想而偉大,要堅持自己的理想哦..................................................................

佩璇佩璇 said...

thank for share, it is very important . ̄︿ ̄..................................................................

宜FH定博林P'韓T彥 said...

好喜歡你的部落格唷,剛下班,要去睡了!!!掰~~..................................................................

義珊義珊 said...

喜歡看大家的文章,每篇都是一個故事,都是一種心情~~祝大家開心愉快............................................................

吳勇佩吳勇佩 said...

與其期盼別人疼你,不如自己疼自己。..................................................

莊雅和莊雅和莊雅和 said...

要經常發表文章 最愛你了呦..................................................................

洪瑋婷洪瑋婷 said...

生活很多細節都要小心點,請多保重 ..................................................

賴珈慧賴珈慧 said...

閱讀您的BLOG文章,真是件快樂的事!!.................................................................

劉隆季劉隆季 said...

傻氣的人喜歡給心 雖然每次都被笑了卻得到了別人的心..................................................................

黃沈貞儀吉軍 said...

Necessity is the mother of invention..................................................................

敬周喜 said...

Pen and ink is wits plough...................................................................

凱許倫 said...

Joy often comes after sorrow, like morning after night.. . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

家則治則治則治瑋 said...

很棒的分享~~~來留個言囉~~~~............................................................

璇陳陳陳竹 said...

生活總是起起伏伏,心情要保持快樂才好哦!!............................................................

靜蔡蔡蔡蔡怡 said...

每次看完你的文章,總是回味許久,要經常發表喔。..................................................

孫邦柔 said...

在你一無所有的時候 是誰在陪伴你 他便是你最重要的人......................................................................

偉DimpleHolloway043昀 said...

感謝你的分享 要繼續發表好文章喔..................................................

王怡迪 said...

唯有穿鞋的人,才知道鞋的哪一處擠腳......................................................................